Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Schalke 04
27.8%
Draw
40.4%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Schalke 04
vs
1.42
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).