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HHT: 11CSV

18 Oct 2025 · 14:00

Bari

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.9%
Reggiana
30.9%
Draw
29.2%
Bari

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Reggiana

vs
1.04

Bari

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).