Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Watford
29.5%
Draw
29.6%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Watford
vs
1.09
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).