Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Stevenage
28.5%
Draw
26.7%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Stevenage
vs
0.85
Walsall
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).