Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Santa Clara
31.2%
Draw
24.6%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Santa Clara
vs
0.84
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).