Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Rochdale
26.3%
Draw
30.1%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Rochdale
vs
0.98
Southend
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).