Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Magdeburg
20.2%
Draw
56.7%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Magdeburg
vs
2.47
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS73.3%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.557.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-1
7.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
2-3
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
0-2
5.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.3%
0-1
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
2-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).