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AHT: 01CSV

15 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.5%
Hamilton
26.8%
Draw
53.7%
Partick

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Hamilton

vs
1.78

Partick

Markets

BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.8%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-0
4.5%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).