Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.8%
Sochi
14.5%
Draw
77.7%
Krasnodar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Sochi
vs
2.90
Krasnodar
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.6%
0-3
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-1
6.5%
1-4
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
1-5
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).