Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Espanol
25.8%
Draw
43.7%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Espanol
vs
1.51
Celta
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).