Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Sheffield United
29.4%
Draw
38.8%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Sheffield United
vs
1.30
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).