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14 Feb 2021 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.1%
Konyaspor
35.5%
Draw
23.4%
Denizlispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Konyaspor

vs
0.90

Denizlispor

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.4%
0-0
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).