Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
28.7%
Draw
46.7%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
1.47
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).