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18 Jan 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Forest Green
30.1%
Draw
43.5%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Forest Green

vs
1.32

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).