Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Lech Poznań
23.5%
Draw
19.0%
Górnik Zabrze
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Lech Poznań
vs
1.04
Górnik Zabrze
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).