Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Real Madrid
18.6%
Draw
11.2%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Real Madrid
vs
0.75
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).