Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Pau FC
15.9%
Draw
15.5%
1874 Northwich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Pau FC
vs
1.26
1874 Northwich
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.556.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
5.0%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).