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09 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
Piast Gliwice
29.6%
Draw
32.7%
Katowice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Piast Gliwice

vs
1.16

Katowice

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).