Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
La Coruna
25.2%
Draw
15.0%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
La Coruna
vs
0.62
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
2-0
13.6%
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).