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23 Nov 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.8%
Goztep
44.2%
Draw
16.1%
Kocaelispor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Goztep

vs
0.45

Kocaelispor

Markets

BTTS23.4%
Over 0.569.9%
Over 1.539.7%
Over 2.514.1%
Over 3.54.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
30.1%
1-0
20.4%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
4.4%
0-2
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
2-2
1.0%
4-0
0.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).