Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Bochum
26.4%
Draw
20.2%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Bochum
vs
0.92
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).