Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.9%
Freiburg
11.6%
Draw
81.5%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Freiburg
vs
3.31
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.579.9%
Over 3.561.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
8.4%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
0-4
7.0%
1-4
6.7%
1-1
4.8%
0-5
4.6%
1-5
4.4%
0-1
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).