Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Pau FC
20.9%
Draw
43.1%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Pau FC
vs
1.81
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS66.6%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).