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07 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Yeovil
28.8%
Draw
31.1%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Yeovil

vs
1.17

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).