Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Genoa
28.0%
Draw
13.1%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Genoa
vs
0.58
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
14.1%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).