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16 Aug 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.1%
Bromley
26.9%
Draw
22.0%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Bromley

vs
0.98

Torquay

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).