Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Amorebieta
22.8%
Draw
54.7%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Amorebieta
vs
1.81
Santander
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).