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AHT: 02

30 Aug 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Kasımpaşa
32.3%
Draw
32.3%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Kasımpaşa

vs
1.29

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.5%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).