Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.1%
Istanbulspor
29.5%
Draw
58.4%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Istanbulspor
vs
1.65
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
13.4%
0-2
13.4%
0-0
12.5%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
5.0%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).