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DHT: 11

01 Dec 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.4%
Motor Lublin
27.4%
Draw
32.3%
Legia Warszawa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Motor Lublin

vs
1.30

Legia Warszawa

Markets

BTTS57.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).