Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Granada
24.5%
Draw
35.1%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Granada
vs
1.39
Santander
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).