Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.5%
Sp Braga
18.6%
Draw
12.9%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Sp Braga
vs
0.76
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).