Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.4%
Lyon
10.4%
Draw
5.2%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Lyon
vs
0.58
Dijon
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
5.2%
1-1
4.9%
5-1
3.0%
0-0
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).