Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Gent
24.0%
Draw
36.3%
Charleroi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Gent
vs
1.63
Charleroi
Markets
BTTS66.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).