Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.6%
Toulouse
14.2%
Draw
8.1%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Toulouse
vs
0.60
Nancy
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
6.8%
1-1
6.7%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.7%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).