Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Almeria
17.8%
Draw
16.7%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Almeria
vs
1.17
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.549.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
1-0
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).