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06 Feb 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.4%
Cercle Brugge
25.8%
Draw
39.8%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.53

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS60.0%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).