Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Gillingham
25.4%
Draw
30.3%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Gillingham
vs
1.03
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).