Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.1%
Torquay
18.7%
Draw
11.1%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Torquay
vs
0.84
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).