Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Man United
29.2%
Draw
40.8%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Man United
vs
1.14
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).