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26 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.6%
Lincoln
17.5%
Draw
14.9%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Lincoln

vs
0.90

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.0%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.2%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.2%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).