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20 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.7%
Peterhead
28.2%
Draw
20.1%
Bonnyrigg Rose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Peterhead

vs
1.00

Bonnyrigg Rose

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).