Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Sassuolo
25.3%
Draw
23.6%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Sassuolo
vs
1.16
Palermo
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.0%
0-1
5.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).