Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →96.8%
Burton
2.7%
Draw
0.6%
Scarborough
Expected Goals (xG)
4.20
Burton
vs
0.24
Scarborough
Markets
BTTS21.3%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.581.9%
Over 3.564.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
15.3%
3-0
14.6%
5-0
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
1-0
5.0%
4-1
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
5-1
3.1%
2-1
2.5%
1-1
1.2%
0-0
1.1%
4-2
0.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).