Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.8%
Forest Green
23.5%
Draw
57.7%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Forest Green
vs
1.94
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).