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11 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.2%
Zorya Luhansk
23.8%
Draw
30.0%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Zorya Luhansk

vs
1.39

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Markets

BTTS62.6%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).