Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.9%
Kasimpasa
20.9%
Draw
67.2%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Kasimpasa
vs
2.49
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.6%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.9%
0-0
4.9%
0-4
4.7%
2-3
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).