Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Sudtirol
26.5%
Draw
18.6%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Sudtirol
vs
0.88
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).