Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Crystal Palace
21.9%
Draw
11.9%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Crystal Palace
vs
0.81
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).