Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Millwall
32.4%
Draw
26.6%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Millwall
vs
0.87
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
14.3%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).